IACLEA Horus Intelligence Update
Selected Horus Alerts
- 28 February 2025, Syntagma Square, Athens, Greece, All-Workers Militant Front (PAME) is due to stage a demonstration to call for accountability regarding the handling of the 2023 Tempi train crash investigation.
- 28 February 2025, From Mariannenplatz through the streets of Berlin, Berlin, Germany, Critical Mass Berlin is due to stage a ‘bike ride’ march against cyclists disadvantage due to road traffic regulations and traffic infrastructure as well as the alleged dominance of motorised traffic in cities and to stand up
- for their rights as equal road users.
- 22 March 2025, Boulevard de l\'Impératrice 17/19, Brussels, Belgium, Agora des Abitants de Earth and Rise For Climate are due to stage a demonstration to demand increased regional funding for Vivaqua, to call
- for financial stability, and against alleged underfunding and high debt.
- On 14 December 2024, at least 10 individuals affiliated with Friends of Palestine NWA and NWA for Palestine staged a ‘bike’ march from Fayetteville Square through the city centre and back to the square, 1 West Center Street, Fayetteville, AR, United States, to demand an end ‘to the genocide in Gaza and an immediate arms embargo.’
- On 13 December 2024, a reported ‘over’ 60 individuals affiliated with groups, including NOLA Freedom Forum and Decolonize Sudan, attended an advocacy training and teach-in inside John Thompson Legacy Center, 1212 St Bernard Avenue, New Orleans, LA, United States, on the ongoing crisis in Sudan.
- On 13 February 2025 inside Singapore Changi Airport, a reported more than 50 individuals staged a demonstration as part of an industrial action against Woodlands Transport Services alleged preferential treatment for minibuses, resulting in a significant reduction of their income.
- Indonesia witnessed alleged dissatisfaction with Indonesian President Prabowo SUBIANTOs policies that led to nationwide mass student demonstrations.
- Hong Kong saw workers associations planning to undertake industrial strike action in the upcoming period.
- Tensions between Taiwan and China continued to be reported, as the latter reacted with anger after the US seemingly revised its position on Taiwan in an update to the State Departments website.
Global Flashpoints
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Thought Leadership
Click on the following links to read articles from our chairman, Tim Collins.
Putin is running out of men to stuff into the meat grinder. Korean drone-bait can’t save him
Putin is running out of men to stuff into the meat grinder. Korean drone-bait can’t save him
The fall of Assad is a disaster for Putin. More dominoes may fall across the Middle East
Sinwar’s death is an Osama bin Laden moment. There is now real hope that the guns will fall silent
Education Establishments – Crime U.S.A
Most recent crime statistics collected in 2023 as part of the Clery act showed some notable trends
2. Sexual Assault: Some universities saw significant increases in reported sexual assault cases. For instance, one University reported a sharp rise in rape cases, largely due to one survivor reporting multiple incidents.
3. Property Crimes: There was a decline in certain property crimes. Motor vehicle thefts, for example, decreased significantly at some institutions.
4. Alcohol Offenses: Many universities reported a reduction in alcohol-related offenses.
5. Hate Crime: reporting indicates that there has been an overall increase in hate crimes in universities
Impact of the Middle East conflict
Antisemitic crime
In 2024, there has been a notable rise in antisemitic incidents at U.S. universities. According to the Anti-Defamation League (ADL), there were 2,087 anti-Israel incidents reported on college campuses between June 1, 2023, and May 31, 2024. These incidents included assaults, vandalism, harassment, protests, and divestment resolutions. This increase has significantly affected Jewish students and communities across various campuses.
Pro-Palestine encampments
Following the Israeli response to the Hamas attack of 7th October 2023, and subsequent invasion of Gazza a number of student encampments were established at Universities in the USA. Unofficial reporting suggests that in May 2024 there were occupations, walkouts, or sit-ins on nearly 140 campuses across the United States, with students demanding universities divest from Israel and address other related issues.
Outlook
It is assessed that at present there is unlikely to be any cessation of protests moving into 2025. Protesters may, having seen the university’s response to encampments, shift away from establishing new encampments in order to explore other forms of direct action or protest to promote the cause. However, from research undertaken, it is also apparent that in some cases others see encampments as a success in highlighting their campaign and may consider a potential return.
Active Shooter Incidents
In 2023, the FBI designated 48 shootings as active shooter incidents. Although incidents decreased by 4% from 2022 (50 incidents), the number of active shooter incidents increased by 60% since 2019 (30 incidents). The 48 active shooter incidents in 2023 occurred in 26 states and represent five location categories: open space, commerce, education, health care, and residence.
Based on location, 28 incidents (58%) occurred in open spaces, followed by 14 in commerce (29%), Three in education (6%), two in health care (4%), and one in residence (2%).
At the time of writing 2024 figures remain unpublished.
Education Establishments – Terrorism U.S.A
In 2024, there has been a notable rise in antisemitic incidents at U.S. universities. According to the Anti-Defamation League (ADL), there were 2,087 anti-Israel incidents reported on college campuses between June 1, 2023, and May 31, 2024. These incidents included assaults, vandalism, harassment, protests, and divestment resolutions. This increase has significantly affected Jewish students and communities across various campuses.
Furthermore, the recent terrorist attack in Germany and that by a lone actor on New Year’s Eve in New Orleans is a reminder that the threat from International terrorism remains.
Overseas Study – United Kingdom
Crime
In the UK, university crime statistics are less centralized. However, research by the online publication Unifresher (https://unifresher.co.uk/cities/national/the-most-dangerous-universities-and-cities-revealed-2/) published in 2024 indicated that crime rates at UK universities have varied significantly across different institutions. The publication identified what they termed as the top ten dangerous universities. It is worth noting that this is based on crime and the location of the campuses.
Aston University tops the list with the highest crime rate, followed by Birmingham City University and London School of Economics. Other universities in the top 10 include Liverpool John Moores University, Teesside University, and University of Wolverhampton.
De Montfort University, King’s College London, University of Bradford, and Coventry University.
Terrorism
The current national terrorism threat level set by the UK government is at SUBSTANTIAL, indicating an attack is likely. Terrorists are increasingly using less sophisticated methods of attack, including knives, firearms, and vehicles, to target crowded places more effectively. Terrorist groups continue to use social media to inspire or direct ‘lone wolf’ attacks which are difficult to predict and disrupt and could take place in almost any country. The last known terrorist incident in the UK happened in October 2023 when a male, Ahmed Ali ALID, stabbed 70-year-old male to death in Hartlepool and seriously injured another man, who survived. ALID claimed the attack to be an act of protest against the Israel–Hamas war. He was sentenced in May 2024 to life imprisonment with a minimum term of 44 years.
Espionage
The UK is a high priority espionage target for Hostile foreign intelligence services (FIS) and the threat from espionage to the UK government is assessed to be SEVERE, espionage is highly likely to occur. Hostile FIS are almost certain to seek to gather intelligence on a broad range of subjects, including foreign policy, defense, financial, technological, industrial, and commercial interests.
